More homes or more buyers? UK vs Dubai residential demand to 2035
Homes built against homes needed, the supply pipeline and what it means for prices, rents and capital growth to 2035.
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Before you commit capital to a UK home, portfolio or development, we inform you of what it is really worth, how bumpy the ride could be and what could go wrong. Fixed fees, plain English and nothing to sell you.
Latest research · October 2026
Homes built against homes needed in both markets and what that means for prices, rents and capital growth over the next ten years.
England stays short of homes all decade. Dubai faces a crowded 2027 to 2029, then balance.
Download free report PDFBased in London & Bahrain, serving investors from the Gulf, India, South East Asia, China, the USA & the European Union
GCC · India · Singapore · Malaysia · Hong Kong · China · USA · European Union
Who we work with
We work for investors and for developers, but never for both sides of the same scheme. Our method and our numbers are the same whoever pays and every report says who commissioned it.
Buy side
For family offices, high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs), private banks and wealth managers. Independent reviews and research before you commit capital.
Sell side
For developers, landowners and development partners. The economic case for a scheme across residential, commercial, industrial, leisure and mixed use.
The discipline behind our research
Land economy is the study of how land and property work as economic assets, and of the laws, policies and markets that shape their value.
The University of Cambridge, where the subject has been taught as a degree since 1962, describes it as “the multidisciplinary study of how society interacts with the environment, both natural and built.” Its Department of Land Economy brings together lawyers, economists, planners, engineers and specialists in public policy, finance and real estate.
That mix matters because no property’s value is set by price alone. It depends on the economy around it, the planning rules that govern what can be built, the legal terms on which it is held, the finance used to buy it and the demand from the people who will live, work or shop there.
A land economist brings those disciplines together to answer practical questions about a specific site or building:
Gentium’s founder, John Florey, read Land Economy at the University of Cambridge and went on to study law at the University of London and business at Imperial College, combining the economics, law and finance the discipline was built on.
At Gentium Advisers we apply this approach to every report. We start with the wider economy and market, then test what it means for one property, at one price, for one investor.
Every engagement is scoped in a short letter with a fixed price. Half on instruction, half on delivery.
A second opinion on one property or development before you sign: what it is really worth, the rent it can earn, the risks and a clear summary of the findings.
From £1,999
Download sample PDFA report on the market question you need answered, such as London against Manchester or the UK against Dubai. Also available quarterly as The International Investor’s Guide to UK Property: a free summary for investors or the full report licensed to your firm.
From £3,000
Evidence that investors, lenders, planners and buyers will believe: who will occupy it, how fast it will let or sell, at what price and whether the numbers work. In the UK and the GCC.
Who will buy or rent, how fast and at what price: local demand, the competing pipeline and expected take-up. Can be supplied as a labelled report for your sales team to share with international buyers.
From £6,000
Download sample PDFThe mix of uses and unit sizes that makes the site worth most, with the residual land value it supports and tests on price, cost and timing.
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Download sample PDFA pricing ladder, release phasing and expected sales or letting pace, so the scheme sells without leaving money on the table.
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Download sample PDFResidential, commercial, industrial and leisure schemes in the UK and the GCC. Larger schemes are priced on scope. Capital raising and formal valuations stay with licensed advisers and RICS Registered Valuers.
Research
Plain English on the front pages, the full mathematics in the appendix.
What a commissioned report looks like. Schemes are anonymised; the market data is real.
A £375,000 two-bed flat in a city centre tower: value against resale evidence, gross and net yield, mortgage at completion and deposit risk.
Download sample PDFA 169-flat city centre tower: what the flats are worth, buyer and rental demand, livability, competing supply and sales value.
Download sample PDFA 0.4 hectare city centre car park: which of five schemes makes the land worth most, what moves that value, rents, investor pricing and sales pace.
Download sample PDFAbout
Director
Gentium Advisers is led by John Florey, a land economist from the University of Cambridge who also holds a law degree from the University of London and an MBA from Imperial College of Science, Technology & Medicine.
John began his career as a planning and development surveyor in Mayfair, then managed a holding company with more than 350 residential units in South Kensington. He went on to spend two decades in corporate finance, private equity and cross-border joint ventures, including ten years linking Chinese investors with UK companies.
Based in Bahrain since 2018, he now advises Asian and Gulf investors on UK property, combining land economics with specialist property finance.
Where a client needs a UK mortgage, John also acts as a consultant to Opes Financial Partners, a mortgage intermediary in Knightsbridge. Any referral or fee is disclosed in writing before you proceed.
Commission a report
Send a short brief and we will reply within two working days with a suggested scope and a fixed fee.